Economic pressure is a pretty common term, I'm a little surprised you would be diving so deep into potential economic impacts of a new tax without knowing the term. Here's a good definition and explanation [1].
Price increases are possible here because it all depends on what is built on the currently vacant lots, or on lots that are cleared when the old buildings no longer make economic sense with the new tax. The example given early in this thread was a car wash versus a new biotech facility. A new, expensive biotech facility wouldn't help with affordable house at all but it would bring in more individuals with higher salaries. Prices could also go up if new construction further increases the city's density or population - more people means more demand and higher prices unless supply increases faster.
Economies of scale aren't a given simply because a new land tax would change building incentives. Economies are much to complex for that and can't be boiled down to a single lever or knob. Changing one thing can have a much different outcome than predicted.
I'm not sure why you would expect a land value tax to have a deflationary impact on housing. There's no direct link between a land value tax and an increase in affordable housing, meaning we can't assume there will be more affordable housing created. What we do know is that land owners now have a new tax to pay, and if you are renting out property on the land you will pass a large portion of the new tax onto them in the form of rent increases. This is literally a concept covered in the intro to economics course I took 15 years ago, if you aren't aware of how businesses handle new taxes I'd recommend you read up on it before pushing too strongly for a new tax.
Price increases are possible here because it all depends on what is built on the currently vacant lots, or on lots that are cleared when the old buildings no longer make economic sense with the new tax. The example given early in this thread was a car wash versus a new biotech facility. A new, expensive biotech facility wouldn't help with affordable house at all but it would bring in more individuals with higher salaries. Prices could also go up if new construction further increases the city's density or population - more people means more demand and higher prices unless supply increases faster.
Economies of scale aren't a given simply because a new land tax would change building incentives. Economies are much to complex for that and can't be boiled down to a single lever or knob. Changing one thing can have a much different outcome than predicted.
I'm not sure why you would expect a land value tax to have a deflationary impact on housing. There's no direct link between a land value tax and an increase in affordable housing, meaning we can't assume there will be more affordable housing created. What we do know is that land owners now have a new tax to pay, and if you are renting out property on the land you will pass a large portion of the new tax onto them in the form of rent increases. This is literally a concept covered in the intro to economics course I took 15 years ago, if you aren't aware of how businesses handle new taxes I'd recommend you read up on it before pushing too strongly for a new tax.
[1] https://www.smartcapitalmind.com/what-is-economic-pressure.h...