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Depends on the issuer. As I mention upthread, I think US major airline bonds are probably ok, more or less regardless of rating, since the gov't will always bail them out in the end. The largest hotel/hospitality chains may befine as well (though I haven't looked into their financial situation). But businesses will still continue to disappear over the next year from this, so I would tread with care.


> I think US major airline bonds are probably ok, more or less regardless of rating, since the gov't will always bail them out in the end

tbh, i think the US gov't really shouldn't be doing bailouts. Equity and bonds _should_ come with appropriate risks, and these risks should be discovered (via pricing of the interest rate for bonds, and for the expected risk-premium in equity).

The distortions happening right now is that the Feds backstopping bankruptcies is causing money to be lent out much more freely than it would've been. This means more worth businesses do not get their chance.

It's like the analogy of bushfires. Big firestorms will clean out the undergrowth, kill the weaker trees, and let the new seedlings grow afterwards. The pain is short term.

If the gov't wants to ease the pain, they need to make unemployment benefits greater, rather than bailout existing businesses. I say this, even tho i own shares, because to not do so means to entrench the moral hazard of socializing losses and privatizing gains.




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